【サナエノミクスは日本版MSSE?積極財政とプライマリーバランスの行方│永濱利廣氏】/債務残高GDP比は改善中/従来のサプライサイド政策との違いとは?/イエレン提唱、中国台頭、GX・DXが加速する時代

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【サナエノミクスは日本版MSSE?積極財政とプライマリーバランスの行方│永濱利廣氏】/債務残高GDP比は改善中/従来のサプライサイド政策との違いとは?/イエレン提唱、中国台頭、GX・DXが加速する時代 【画面に表示される株価や指数等の数値は2025年11月27日放送時点のものです】 ▼チャンネル登録&高評価をお願いします▼ 👉 メンバーシップ「日経CNBCワンコイン」 「サナエノミクスは「日本版MSSE」(モダンサプライサイドエコノミクス)的」 解説:永濱 利廣氏(第一生命経済研究所 首席エコノミスト) 進行:守田 正樹(日経CNBC キャスター) 〈目次〉 01:26 MSSE(モダンサプライサイドエコノミクス)誕生の背景と世界潮流 ・イエレン財務長官がバイデン政権で提唱 →「高圧経済」を志向、効果的な財政支出による長期成長を目指した ・中国の国家主導の投資が西側諸国に衝撃 → 民間任せでは競争力低下 ・GX(脱炭素)・DX(デジタル化)・経済安全保障など政府主導が不可欠な分野が増加 03:54 日本の現状と課題 ・岸田政権では財政規律が壁となり本格導入できず →高市政権で「責任ある積極財政」へ転換 05:33 プライマリーバランスの考え方は変わる ・2002年導入時は「債務残高GDP比を下げる」ため必須 →デフレ時代は黒字化が不可欠だが  現在は名目成長率>金利 → 財政安定条件が変化 08:57 財政運営の柔軟化と投資促進策 ・国内の供給力強化には投資が必要 ・米国は減価償却の即時償却に着手、  即時償却は税収減になるためPB単年度中立主義では難しい →高市政権はこれを柔軟にしようという考え 10:38 日本の債務残高と国際比較 ・G7の政府”純金融債務残高”GDP比 →日本は純債務で改善傾向で米国より良化 15:45 今の局面での懸念 ・近年はGDPギャップが改善せずPBだけが大きく改善 →税金の取り過ぎで乖離が出ている ・GDPギャップが改善すればPBも自ずと改善 →名目成長率と長期金利の関係で財政運営を機動的に変えることが重要 📢日経CNBCのおすすめ動画はこちら‼ 政局別相場物色シナリオ~パート2~ 大和証券 木野内栄治氏 【株式市場展望】 ・井出真吾氏(ニッセイ基礎研究所) ・武者 陵司氏(武者リサーチ 代表) ・矢嶋 康次氏(ニッセイ基礎研究所) ・木野内 栄治氏(大和証券) ▼為替・ドル円相場解説▼ ・井口 喜雄氏(トレイダーズ証券) ・尾河 眞樹氏(ソニーフィナンシャルグループ) ▼金融・経済解説▼ ・永濱 利廣氏(第一生命経済研究所) ・木内 登英氏(野村総合研究所) ▼金投資・デリバティブ▼ ・池水 雄一氏(日本貴金属マーケット協会) ライブやオンデマンドなどマーケット動画が見放題 ▼有料動画配信「日経CNBC online」はこちら▼ #永濱利廣 #サナエノミクス #MSSE #モダンサプライサイド #積極財政 #プライマリーバランス #財政規律 #名目成長率 #金利 #債務残高 #GDP #経済政策 #成長戦略 #供給力強化 #GX #DX #経済安全保障 #イエレン #バイデン政権 #中国経済 #構造改革 #日本経済 #高市政権 #財政出動 #設備投資 #人材育成 #税制改正 #減価償却 #投資促進 #インフレ #デフレ #財政運営 #国際比較 #IMF #格付け #ムーディーズ #フィッチ #S&P #骨太方針 #財政健全化 #経済成長 #産業政策 #新自由主義 #レーガノミクス #トリクルダウン #財政柔軟化 #攻めの財政 #機動的運営 #日本版MSSE #政策転換 #経済潮流 #財政戦略 #国力強化
  2025/11/30      youtube
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