【日本株・押し目買いが有効な局面か│木野内栄治氏】四半期初の投資戦略/日経平均株価・自社株買い✕で戻り鈍い/自動車株:トヨタとホンダに三空/米国自動車生産は増加/トランプ追加関税を展望/7月以降は注意

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【日本株・押し目買いが有効な局面か│木野内栄治氏】四半期初の投資戦略/日経平均株価・自社株買い✕で戻り鈍い/自動車株:トヨタとホンダに三空/米国自動車生産は増加/トランプ追加関税を展望/7月以降は注意 ※初回放送は【2025年4月1日(月)15時40分】です。 「日経CNBC online」2025年4月の視聴料が無料となるキャンペーン開催中! ✅データや資料の文字起こしを概要欄に掲載 【画面に表示される株価や指数等の数値は2025年月4月1日放送時点のものです】 ▼チャンネル登録&高評価をお願いします▼ 👉 メンバーシップ「日経CNBCワンコイン」サービス開始‼ 「四半期初は押し目買い戦略が有効に」 解説:木野内 栄治氏(大和証券 チーフテクニカルアナリスト) 進行:守田 正樹(日本経済新聞 キャスター) 00:00 四半期初、戻り鈍くても仕方ない 01:02 金融機関の自己勘定の利食い出る ・金融マンは3カ月後に目標達成ではだめ ・早く「頭取ご安心を」金融マンのお作法 03:27 期末「自社株買い関与ならぬ」 ・事業法人の現物売買動向(2市場) ・東証ガイドラインに則り 四半期末の1週間は自社株買いなくなる 05:06 自動車会社が自社株買い追加上乗せ ・自社株買いは例年1月から減りだす 06:20 トヨタとホンダに「三空」が発生 ・戻りは鈍いがサポート入ると期待 07:31 米国で10年に1度自動車が売れる ・米国自動車販売の12カ月MA ・アメ車は補修パーツが高い ・今後販売台数が年200万台上乗せされる 09:12 米自動車生産は増えている ・米鉱工業生産指数が足元で上昇 ・駆け込みではない、心配しなくてよい 10:16 消費者マインドは悪化しているのか ・ミシガン大消費者センチメント指数低下 ・共和党支持者は上昇(楽観的) ・民主党支持者のマインドは急激に悪化 11:42 結果的に駆け込み消費に? ・「大型家庭用耐久財買い時と思う人の割合」 (ミシガン大、2016年) ・年末に急増し2割に、トランプ1.0も同じ ・民主党支持者は「嫌々でもモノを買う」 13:03 2018年の相場はどうだった? ・3月に鉄鋼・アルミ輸入制限実施 ・その後ISM指数上昇、今回も同様では 14:04 日経平均は追加関税で押し目作った ・上昇と悪材料出尽くし繰り返し 15:08 ただし後半崩れ日本は景気後退期に 15:56 「4半期初は押し目買い有効」か? ・3カ月くらいはリバウンドに期待 ・7月からの四半期初は買い場にならないかも 📢日経CNBCのおすすめ動画はこちら‼ 【相場展望】 ・尾河 眞樹氏(ソニーフィナンシャルグループ) ・岡崎 良介氏(日経CNBC コメンテーター) ・阪上 亮太氏(シティグループ証券) ▼金融・経済解説▼ ・永濱 利廣氏(第一生命経済研究所) ・小林 俊介氏(みずほ証券 チーフエコノミスト) ▼定点観測・銘柄/投資テーマ▼ ・セブン&アイ×1週間 ・三菱UFJ×中銀ウィーク ▼新NISA関連▼ ・代田 秀雄氏(三菱UFJアセットマネジメント 常務) ▼金投資・デリバティブ▼ ・池水 雄一氏(日本貴金属マーケット協会) ▼暗号資産・ビットコイン▼ ・松本 大氏(マネックスグループ 会長) ▼投資戦略を聞く▼ ・個人投資家 ろくすけ氏 ライブやオンデマンドなどマーケット動画が見放題 ▼有料動画配信「日経CNBC online」はこちら▼ #木野内栄治 #日本株 #投資戦略 #押し目買い #四半期初 #日経平均 #戻り鈍い #自社株買い #日本株 #自動車株 #トヨタ#ホンダ #三空 #自動車生産 #トランプ政権 #追加関税 #大和証券 #チーフテクニカルアナリス
  2025/04/02      youtube

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